The manager of a fast-food restaurant determines that the average time that her customers wait for service is 3.5 minutes.The manager wants to advertise that anybody who isn't served within a certain number of minutes gets a free hamburger. But she doesn't want to give away free hamburgers to more than 1% of her customers. What number of minutes should the advertisement use

Respuesta :

Answer:

The advertisement should use 16 minutes.

Step-by-step explanation:

Exponential distribution:

The exponential probability distribution, with mean m, is described by the following equation:

[tex]f(x) = \mu e^{-\mu x}[/tex]

In which [tex]\mu = \frac{1}{m}[/tex] is the decay parameter.

The probability that x is lower or equal to a is given by:

[tex]P(X \leq x) = \int\limits^a_0 {f(x)} \, dx[/tex]

Which has the following solution:

[tex]P(X \leq x) = 1 - e^{-\mu x}[/tex]

The probability of finding a value higher than x is:

[tex]P(X > x) = 1 - P(X \leq x) = 1 - (1 - e^{-\mu x}) = e^{-\mu x}[/tex]

The manager of a fast-food restaurant determines that the average time that her customers wait for service is 3.5 minutes.

This means that [tex]m = 3.5, \mu = \frac{1}{3.5} = 0.2857[/tex]

What number of minutes should the advertisement use?

The values of x for which:

[tex]P(X > x) = 0.01[/tex]

So

[tex]e^{-\mu x} = 0.01[/tex]

[tex]e^{-0.2857x} = 0.01[/tex]

[tex]\ln{e^{-0.2857x}} = \ln{0.01}[/tex]

[tex]-0.2857x = \ln{0.01}[/tex]

[tex]x = -\frac{\ln{0.01}}{0.2857}[/tex]

[tex]x = 16.12[/tex]

Rounding to the nearest number, the advertisement should use 16 minutes.