The taxiways and runways of a major airport are carefully monitored to expedite takeoffs and landings and to prevent collisions. If a pedestrian or vehicle enters a radiocontrolled surface at an airport without receiving permission, this is called a deviation and incursion. Suppose the mean number of deviations and incursions per year at the Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) is 2. Find the probability that exactly 3 serious deviations and incursions will occur at LAX in a randomly selected year

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Answer:

18.04% probability that exactly 3 serious deviations and incursions will occur at LAX in a randomly selected year

Step-by-step explanation:

In a Poisson distribution, the probability that X represents the number of successes of a random variable is given by the following formula:

[tex]P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\mu}*\mu^{x}}{(x)!}[/tex]

In which

x is the number of sucesses

e = 2.71828 is the Euler number

[tex]\mu[/tex] is the mean in the given time interval.

Suppose the mean number of deviations and incursions per year at the Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) is 2.

This means that [tex]\mu = 2[/tex]

Find the probability that exactly 3 serious deviations and incursions will occur at LAX in a randomly selected year

This is P(X = 3).

[tex]P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\mu}*\mu^{x}}{(x)!}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 3) = \frac{e^{-2}*2^{3}}{(3)!} = 0.1804[/tex]

18.04% probability that exactly 3 serious deviations and incursions will occur at LAX in a randomly selected year